Palm oil rises on higher Malaysian export estimates; firmer ringgit caps gains
“On July 18, Malaysian palm oil futures edged up 0.25% to 3,935 ringgit per metric ton on robust export estimates and strong demand from India due to competitive pricing. The market rebounded after reports of increased exports in early July, suggesting potential to retest the 4,000 ringgit mark. However, gains were tempered by a slightly firmer ringgit against the dollar. Dalian’s soyoil contract also rose, supporting palm oil, while Chicago Board of Trade saw modest gains in soyoil prices.
KUALA LUMPUR: Malaysian palm oil futures rose on Wednesday, buoyed by higher export estimates from the world’s second-biggest producer, although a firmer ringgit capped gains.
The benchmark palm oil contract for October delivery on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange was up 10 ringgit, or 0.25%, to 3,935 ringgit ($842.25) a metric ton by midday.
The market has recovered after bullish export data and is expected to retest the 4,000 ringgit mark, a Kuala Lumpur-based trader said.
“Buying interest is expected as a shortage of palm is seen in Indonesia, while Indian buyers are aggressively looking for cargo in the coming months as palm is considerably cheaper than rival edible oils,” the trader added.
Exports of Malaysian palm oil products for July 1-15 rose between 65.9% and 75.6% from a month earlier, according to cargo surveyors Intertek Testing Services and AmSpec Agri.
Cargo surveyor Societe Generale de Surveillance estimates exports of Malaysian palm oil products for July 1-15 at 786,830 metric tons, from 488,388 tons shipped during June 1-15, according to LSEG data.
Dalian’s most-active soyoil contract rose 0.4%, while its palm oil contract gained 1.47%. Soyoil prices on the Chicago Board of Trade were up 0.24%.
Palm oil is affected by price movements in related oils, as they compete for a share of the global vegetable oils market.
The ringgit, palm’s currency of trade, firmed 0.04% against the dollar, making the commodity slightly more expensive for buyers holding foreign currencies.
Malaysia’s benchmark crude palm oil futures are expected to average between 3,850 ringgit and 4,000 ringgit per ton this year, a slight increase from 2023, the Malaysian Palm Oil Association said earlier this week.
Palm oil may revisit its July 12 high of 3,991 ringgit per metric ton, as a consolidation from the July 10 low of 3,850 ringgit has extended, Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao said.
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