Grain harvest rates in Russia are falling rapidly
Russia’s grain harvest plunged to 3.8 million tons as of July 3—four times less than last year—due to drought, sanctions, and inflation. Yields fell to 31 quintals/hectare. Southern regions and occupied Ukrainian territories saw the steepest drops. Export quotas remain unmet amid weak global prices, leaving 1.8 million tons unsold, highlighting policy inefficiencies and growing farmer distress.
Russia has recorded a sharp drop in grain harvest rates. This was reported by the Foreign Intelligence Service.
Thus, as of July 3, only 3.8 million tons of grain had been harvested – four times less than last year (16.5 million tons). The average yield fell from 41 to 31 quintals per hectare.
“The South and North Caucasus districts show the greatest lag: 2 million tons, respectively, against 11.4 million tons and 1.5 million tons against 4.5 million tons last year. In the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine, almost half the harvest was harvested than in 2024,” the report says.
Among the key reasons, the FIS named a prolonged drought (a state of emergency in several districts of the Rostov region), devaluation of high-quality seeds due to Western sanctions (loss of up to 70% of the import fund), and inflationary pressure.
Electricity tariffs increased by 11.5%, gasoline by 12% in June alone.
“In addition, the government’s export policy turned out to be ineffective: at low world prices ($222–228 per ton), farmers did not exhaust the wheat export quota, leaving more than 1.8 million tons in the country,” they added.
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Source : Ukr Agro Consult
