Chinese market for Russian grain turned out to be just a dream
China’s expected grain demand never materialized for Siberian farmers. Complex logistics, delayed bank payments, and loss of Chinese trade privileges sharply reduced shipments to just 56,000 tons. Exports are shifting to Central Asia instead. Analysts say political, financial, and transport hurdles make China an unrealistic market for Russian grain.
Although China has never been the main buyer of Russian grain, in 2025 Siberian farmers had high hopes for it. Exporters hoped to use preferences and economic zones for quick deliveries and foreign exchange earnings, but the reality turned out to be different. Logistics is complicated, banks are delaying transfers, and Chinese enterprises have lost privileges, which makes cooperation difficult and long.
As a result, deliveries to China have decreased to 56 thousand tons, while exports to Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and other Central Asian countries are growing. Russian companies are forced to give grain to large exporters or look for new markets to receive foreign exchange earnings.
Experts emphasize: “We should not wait for a Chinese miracle.” Political, financial and logistical barriers have turned a promising market into a practically unattainable one for the Russian agro-industrial complex.
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Source : Ukr Agro Consult