Grain markets began rising even before escalation around Iran – US analyst
Global grain markets rallied strongly last week, with corn, soybean and wheat futures hitting yearly highs. Analysts say the bullish trend had already been forming, supported by strong U.S. corn exports and record soybean crushing. Rising vegetable oil demand and geopolitical tensions have added momentum, while weather and demand will shape future price direction.
Global grain markets ended last week with a strong rally, as futures for corn, soybeans and wheat climbed to new highs for the year. While some analysts attribute the price surge to the escalating conflict involving Iran and rising crude oil prices, others believe the rally had already been forming earlier.
According to Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, the breakout in grain markets had been developing well before the recent geopolitical tensions. He argues that the market had already shown signs of shifting toward a longer-term bullish trend, with the conflict only amplifying existing momentum.
Strong demand for U.S. grain has also supported prices. Corn exports from the United States have reached about 2.56 billion bushels so far this marketing year, roughly 31% higher than during the same period a year earlier.
At the same time, record soybean crushing activity is boosting demand for soybean oil, which is widely used in biofuel production. Robust global demand for vegetable oils, including palm oil and canola, has further supported the oilseed complex.
Analysts note that the grain market now stands at an important crossroads. Future price movements will depend on weather conditions in North America, global demand trends and geopolitical developments. If key technical levels are broken, grain markets could enter a new phase of longer-term growth.
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Source : Ukr Agro Consult
