Indonesia projects 3.5M ton rice surplus in 2025, no imports needed


Indonesia expects a 3.5 million-ton rice surplus in 2025, ensuring no imports are needed, Deputy Agriculture Minister Sudaryono announced. National production is projected at 33–34 million tons, exceeding 2024 levels. Modern machinery, smooth fertilizer supply, better irrigation, favorable weather, and supportive policies have boosted planting and productivity, strengthening domestic food security.
Jakarta (ANTARA) – Deputy Agriculture Minister Sudaryono confirmed that national rice production in 2025 is projected to record a surplus of 3.5 million tons, ensuring sufficient domestic supply without the need for imports until the end of the year.
“According to data from Statistics Indonesia (BPS), by the end of December 2025, rice production is expected to post a surplus of 3.5 million tons compared to last year. God willing, if everything goes as planned, we will not need to import rice this year,” Sudaryono said here on Wednesday (Sept. 10).
He explained that national rice production by the end of 2025 is estimated to reach 33–34 million tons, indicating a surplus of about 3.5 million tons compared with the previous year.
“Based on preliminary calculations, rice production this year will be around 33–34 million tons, with a surplus of more than three million tons, in line with projections,” he said after opening the National Seminar of Agricultural Students, organized by the Indonesian Association of Agricultural Socio-Economics Student Organizations (Popmasepi).
However, Sudaryono did not specify the exact production figure for 2024. He only underlined that production this year will be higher than the previous year.
According to an ANTARA report on Dec. 30, 2024, Agriculture Minister Andi Amran Sulaiman announced that total domestic rice production had surpassed 30 million tons at the end of that year.
Sudaryono further explained that the Agriculture Ministry only calculates planted areas, while harvest volumes are officially determined by BPS, which conducts regular national evaluations.
He noted that the more land is planted with rice, the greater the harvest potential, with production trends projected to rise compared with previous years that saw fluctuations.
Various factors have supported this increase, including the use of modern agricultural machinery, smooth fertilizer distribution, effective irrigation through pumping systems, and favorable weather conditions for farming activities.
He added that government policies have also played a crucial role, particularly intensive assistance from agricultural extension workers, which has encouraged farmers to expand planting areas and sustainably improve land productivity.
Sudaryono highlighted that the farm-gate price of unhusked rice at Rp6,500 per kilogram serves as a key incentive, motivating farmers to increase planting across production centers.
“The more we plant, the more we harvest. But the Agriculture Ministry does not calculate harvest volumes, as these are continuously evaluated by Statistics Indonesia,” the Deputy Minister said.
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Source : Antara News
