Russian new crop wheat export prices remain flat amid weak activity before new season’s start
Russian new crop wheat prices stayed flat at \$225/ton FOB amid limited old crop trading and expectations of new export rules. IKAR raised May export estimates to 2.1 million tons, while Sovecon sees 1.9 million tons. Deputy PM Patrushev plans to cap 2024/25 wheat exports at 44.5 million tons, influencing market sentiment and pricing stability.
MOSCOW: Prices for new crop Russian wheat remained unchanged last week as trading in old crop supplies has nearly stopped and the market is waiting for the start of the new marketing season with possible changes in export regulations, analysts said.
The price for new crop Russian wheat with 12.5% protein content for free-on-board (FOB) delivery in the second half of July was $225 per metric ton, same as a week ago, said Dmitry Rylko, head of the IKAR consultancy.
IKAR upgraded its estimate of wheat exports in May to 2.1 million tons from 1.7-1.9 million tons a week ago. Wheat exports in June are estimated at 1.2 million tons.
The Sovecon consultancy estimated prices for Russian old crop wheat with 12.5% protein content at $240-243 per ton FOB compared to $248-250 per ton FOB a week before. New crop offers are being discussed at $225–230 per ton.
According to the agency, the price dynamics was affected by a potential change in the calculation of export duties announced last week by Russian Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Patrushev. He said Russia will reduce exports to 44.5 million metric tons of wheat and 53 million tons of grain in the 2024/25 season.
Sovecon upgraded the forecast for May wheat exports by 0.1 million tons to 1.9 million tons.
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Source : Business Recorder
