Wheat Closes with Marginally Mixed Action
Wheat futures were mixed Wednesday, with spring wheat leading gains. Chicago and Kansas City contracts saw fractional changes, while Minneapolis rose 3–4 cents. Traders await USDA export data, expecting 400,000–600,000 MT in new crop sales. U.S. wheat output is forecast to rise slightly. Taiwan seeks U.S. wheat imports, while Argentina’s production was revised down to 20.7 MMT.
Wheat posted modest movement on Wednesday, with contracts mixed across the three exchanges and spring wheat the strongest. Chicago SRW futures were fractionally mixed across the front months. Kansas City HRW contracts was within a penny of unchanged on the session. Minneapolis spring wheat futures posted 3 to 4 cent gains on the session.
The trade is looking for the 2024/25 marketing year to round out with net reductions of 100,000 to net sales of 500,000 MT in the week ending on June 5 (just 2 days for the old MY). New crop business is at 400,000 to 600,000 MT for estimates in the weekly Export Sales report.
A Bloomberg survey of analysts shows expected wheat production ahead of Thursday’s crop progress report to be up 3 mbu to 1.924 bbu. Much of that is likely going to come from the winter wheat crop which is expected to rise nearly 8 mbu to 1.389 bbu. The HRW crop is seen up 4 mbu to 755, with SRW 2 mbu higher to 346 and the white wheat crop steady at 253. Old crop wheat stocks are expected to be up 4 mbu to 845, with the new crop total up 2 to 925 mbu. For the world numbers, analysts are looking for old crop stocks down 0.3 MMT to 264.9 MMT. New crop is seen 0.7 MMT lower at 265 MMT on average.
Taiwan importers are tendering for 95,450 MT of wheat from the US. Argentina wheat production is expected to total 20.7 MMT according to the Rosario Grains Exchange, down from the 21 MMT they previously estimated.
Jul 25 CBOT Wheat closed at $5.34 1/4, down 1/4 cent,
Sep 25 CBOT Wheat closed at $5.49, up 1/4 cent,
Jul 25 KCBT Wheat closed at $5.26 1/4, down 1 cent,
Sep 25 KCBT Wheat closed at $5.40 1/4, up 1/4 cent,
Jul 25 MGEX Wheat closed at $6.17 1/4, up 4 cents,
Sep 25 MGEX Wheat closed at $6.27 1/4, up 3 1/2 cents.
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Source : Nasdaq.com
