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After E20, India’s Ethanol Transition Enters A New Phase

India is accelerating ethanol blending beyond E20 toward E30, E85 and E100 to strengthen energy security and cut crude imports. Industry leaders cite surplus ethanol supply and lower fuel costs, but warn vehicle compatibility, infrastructure expansion and consumer economics remain major implementation challenges.

India’s ethanol blending programme is entering a new phase after achieving the E20 target ahead of schedule, with policymakers and industry stakeholders increasingly turning their attention to higher blends such as E30 and E85. While the next stage is being framed as a strategic tool for energy security and crude import reduction, industry voices remain divided on how quickly India can build the ecosystem needed to support higher ethanol adoption.

The discussion around higher ethanol blends has also gained momentum after Union Minister for Road Transport and Highways Nitin Gadkari said India has given legal recognition to 100 per cent ethanol fuel (E100), completing the regulatory framework to allow vehicles to run entirely on ethanol. The move comes as the government increasingly pushes flex-fuel mobility as part of its broader energy security strategy.

The push comes at a time when India continues to import more than 85 per cent of its crude oil requirements, leaving the economy exposed to global price volatility and geopolitical disruptions. The government has also begun laying the groundwork for a flex-fuel ecosystem, with plans to scale ethanol dispensing infrastructure through 500 pumps by December 2026 and 5,000 by 2027.

The push toward higher ethanol blends comes as India’s ethanol blending programme increasingly shifts from a blending initiative to a structural component of the country’s transport fuel ecosystem. A recent KPMG study noted that the programme has helped save over Rs 1.67 lakh crore in foreign exchange, displaced nearly 283 lakh metric tonnes of crude oil and avoided around 851 lakh tonnes of carbon dioxide emissions, while strengthening linkages between agriculture and energy.

Why Industry Sees Momentum Beyond E20

For some industry leaders, India’s rapid progress on E20 demonstrates that higher ethanol blends may be closer than expected. Ravi Gupta, Executive Director and Member of the Board at Renuka Sugars and Chairman of the Sugar Ethanol Group at the Indian Federation of Green Energy, said the launch of E85 — priced nearly Rs 20 per litre lower than E20 — signals the beginning of the next phase of India’s ethanol journey. “In a scenario where more than 85 per cent of crude oil requirements are imported, E20 and E85 are not only environmental choices but tools for energy security, import reduction, rural livelihoods, and consumer choice,” Gupta said, adding that higher blends would gain traction only if supply availability and affordability are ensured.

The optimism is reinforced by signs of excess supply in the sector. Samir Somaiya, Chairman and Managing Director, Godavari Biorefineries Ltd, pointed to the latest procurement cycle, where around 17 billion litres of ethanol were offered against demand for 11 billion litres, arguing that production constraints are no longer the primary concern. “The ethanol blending programme is one of the most successful energy transition stories in India right now. The road to E25 and E85 is shorter than most imagine,” Somaiya said, while also advocating for India to examine the feasibility of hydrous ethanol, as used in Brazil.

E30 Looks Likely, E85 Faces Execution Hurdles

However, not all industry voices see E30 and E85 as equally achievable. Rananjay Singh, Chief Operating Officer, Enso Group, argued that while E30 appears increasingly certain due to notified standards and projected blending trajectories, E85 remains a more complex proposition. “Delhi’s first pump sells it at roughly Rs 20 a litre under E20, but the car burns 25–35 per cent more of it, so that discount doesn’t pay for the energy you lose unless the engine is hybridised,” Singh said, adding that limited flex-fuel vehicle availability and nascent dispensing infrastructure make E85 “still a bet”.

That places greater responsibility on the automobile sector, according to Akshay Modi, Managing Director, Modi Biotech Pvt Ltd, who argued that vehicle readiness must progress alongside fuel infrastructure. “The automobile industry must take responsibility and convert all models to flex-fuel vehicles. There is no need to wait — E85 infrastructure and vehicle deployment can grow together,” Modi said.

While India may have solved the supply challenge for ethanol faster than expected, the success of E30 and E85 could ultimately depend on whether vehicle compatibility, dispensing infrastructure and consumer economics can evolve at the same pace as policy ambition.

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Source : Business World

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