Indian soybean acreage likely to rise on high prices, weak monsoon outlook
India’s soybean acreage may rise up to 10% in 2026 as four-year-high soybean prices and weak monsoon forecasts linked to El Niño encourage farmers to shift from sugarcane and corn, potentially reducing edible oil imports despite record soybean imports this year.
India’s soybean acreage is expected to increase this year as four-year-high prices and forecasts of below-normal monsoon rainfall due to El Nino encourage farmers to shift from water-intensive crops such as sugarcane and corn to the oilseed, farmers and industry officials told Reuters.
Soybean is India’s main summer-sown oilseed crop and higher output will help the world’s biggest importer of edible oils to cap overseas buying of palm oil, soyoil and sunflower oil. It will also ease domestic soybean and soymeal prices, benefiting India’s poultry industry, the largest consumer of soymeal.
“Farmers switched from soybean to corn last year. But with soybean offering better returns than corn, many are expected to shift back to the oilseed this season,” said Manoj Agrawal, managing director of Maharashtra Oil Extractions, a soymeal producer and exporter.
Soybean prices climbed to ₹7,587 per 100 kg last month, a four-year high and well above the government’s support price of ₹5,328, while corn prices remain below the floor price of ₹2,400 for the year.
Indian farmers planted soybeans on 12 million hectares in 2025, and industry officials expect the area to rise by up to 10 per cent this year.
The farmers usually begin planting soybeans and other summer-sown crops in June with the arrival of monsoon rains, which are expected this year to be the weakest in 11 years due to the emergence of the El Nino weather pattern.
Concerns over rainfall have increased the appeal of soybeans, which require less water than corn and sugarcane, crops that compete with the oilseed in some parts of the country.
“We usually grow sugarcane, but since there is a forecast of less rain, we are planning to grow soybeans this time because they need much less water than sugarcane,” said Manoj Kale, a farmer based in Solapur in the western state of Maharashtra.
Soybean acreage is likely to rise, but rainfall during monsoon will be key in determining yields, said D.N. Pathak, executive director of the Soybean Processors Association of India (SOPA).
India’s soybean imports are expected to rise to a record 900,000 tons this year, driven by lower production last year.
“Soybean oil imports have been rising in recent years, and higher production is expected to help curb imports,” said a Mumbai-based dealer with a global trade house.
India buys palm oil mainly from Indonesia and Malaysia, while it imports soyoil and sunflower oil from Argentina, Brazil, Russia and Ukraine.
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Source : The Business Standard
