Record surge in Syria’s wheat harvest does not eliminate import needs
Syria’s wheat harvest is forecast to rise to 2.3–2.5 million tonnes in 2026 from 900,000 tonnes last year, driven by improved rainfall and recovered northern regions. However, with annual demand near 4 million tonnes, imports will remain necessary despite expanded grain infrastructure.
Syria’s wheat production is expected to more than double this year, supported by improved rainfall and the reintegration of key northern agricultural regions into government control. Despite this strong recovery, the country will still need to rely on imports to meet domestic demand.
The agriculture ministry estimates this year’s wheat harvest at between 2.3 million and 2.5 million metric tons, compared with around 900,000 tons last year. Officials describe the season as exceptionally favorable following a period of severe drought that sharply reduced output in 2025.
A significant share of the increase comes from formerly contested northern provinces, including Hasakah, Raqqa and Deir ez-Zor, which have now been brought back under state administration. Together, these regions are expected to contribute around 1.5 million tons, accounting for more than half of total production gains.
Despite the strong rebound, Syria’s annual wheat demand is estimated at roughly 4 million tons, meaning the country will still face a supply gap. Authorities therefore continue to rely on imports, particularly to secure soft wheat used in bread production.
The government has also expanded grain infrastructure plans, including the construction of more than 15 new storage and collection centres across key producing regions. At the same time, it has introduced a new electronic system for procurement, although it has faced criticism from farmers over practicality and pricing levels.
Officials acknowledge that full self-sufficiency remains out of reach in the near term, as the country continues its gradual agricultural recovery after years of conflict and drought-related losses.
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Source : Ukr Agro Consult
